US Dollar Index Fluctuates at High Levels, Suppressing Overall Performance of Base Metals [SMM Tin Midday Review]

Published: Feb 26, 2025 11:27
[SMM Tin Midday Review: US Dollar Index Fluctuates at High Levels, Weighing on Overall Performance of Base Metals] On the morning of February 26, 2025, the most-traded SHFE tin 2503 contract showed a trend of jumping initially and then pulling back. The opening price was 262,300 yuan/mt, with prices jumping initially and then pulling back during the night session. The intraday high reached 265,300 yuan/mt, and the midday closing price was 262,900 yuan/mt, down 1,290 yuan from the previous trading day, with a decline of -0.49%. The trading volume was 27,500 lots, continuing to decrease compared to yesterday, while open interest fell by 4,378 lots to 10,100 lots. Today, the most-traded SHFE tin contract continued its recent high-level consolidation pattern, with the price center slightly declining to around 263,000 yuan/mt. The approaching domestic Two Sessions and the low LME tin inventory provided support for prices. From a technical perspective, the SHFE tin 2503 contract broke below the key support level of 265,000 yuan/mt and is fluctuating within the range of 260,000 to 265,000 yuan/mt in the short term. The MACD indicator shows that bearish momentum has slightly strengthened, but there is technical support near 260,000 yuan/mt. The US January PCE data is expected to be released soon, and market expectations for US Fed interest rate cuts have become increasingly divided. The US dollar index fluctuates at high levels, weighing on the overall performance of base metals.

Midday Review of the SHFE Tin 2503 Contract on February 26, 2025

On the morning of February 26, 2025, the SHFE tin 2503 contract exhibited a jump initially and then pull back trend. The opening price was 262,300 yuan/mt, with prices jumping initially during the night session and then pulling back. The intraday high reached 265,300 yuan/mt, and the midday closing price was 262,900 yuan/mt, down 1,290 yuan from the previous trading day, with a decline of -0.49%. The trading volume was 27,500 lots, continuing to decrease compared to yesterday, while open interest fell by 4,378 lots to 10,100 lots.

Today, the most-traded SHFE tin contract continued the recent high-level consolidation pattern, with the price center slightly declining to around 263,000 yuan/mt. The upcoming domestic Two Sessions policy expectations and low LME tin inventory provided support for prices. Technically, the SHFE tin 2503 contract broke below the key support level of 265,000 yuan/mt and is fluctuating in the range of 260,000 to 265,000 yuan/mt in the short term. The MACD indicator shows that bearish momentum has slightly increased, but there is technical support near 260,000 yuan/mt. The US January PCE data is expected to be released soon, and market disagreements over expectations for US Fed interest rate cuts have intensified. The US dollar index fluctuated at a high level, weighing on the overall performance of base metals.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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US Dollar Index Fluctuates at High Levels, Suppressing Overall Performance of Base Metals [SMM Tin Midday Review] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)